Solutions

Predict patient demand before it appears in your data.

Trajectory-based models trained on longitudinal claims data surface the patients, markets, and risks your conventional analytics won't see for another 6 to 18 months. One platform. Three commercial functions. Continuously updated.

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What Foresight delivers
Forward-looking intelligence for every commercial decision.

Your field force is calling on last quarter's prescribers. Foresight shows you next quarter's.

SHAARPEC Foresight identifies physicians whose patient panels are already moving toward treatment eligibility — before any script is written. Updated as new claims arrive, deployable directly into field force planning tools.

  • HCP Prioritization

    Prescribers ranked by predicted future patient eligibility in their panels, refreshed with each data cycle and deployable to field force planning tools.

  • Territory Demand Mapping

    Demand mapped by geography, health system, and site of care — where volume is going, not where it's been.

  • Site-of-Care Targeting

    Infusion centers and specialty clinics ranked by concentration of pre-treatment patients — critical for site-administered therapies.

Below the waterline

Three layers of demand sit below the waterline of prescription analytics: patients approaching eligibility, diagnosed but untreated, and approaching competitive switch. This is where Foresight operates.

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Evidence & context
6 mo. built-in lag in adjudicated claims data before a new writer appears in targeting data IQVIA
5.6× improvement in patient identification from trajectory signals EP Europace · 2025
25% of large pharma companies have adopted dynamic targeting as of 2024 Axtria · 2025

The physicians who will drive your launch aren't in your data yet. Foresight finds them before day one.

SHAARPEC Foresight builds a pre-launch demand map from patient trajectory signals in the current population — using analogous therapy data as the model foundation. Available from launch day, updated continuously as new claims arrive.

  • Proxy Corpus Foundation

    A demand model built before your drug has a single prescription, trained on trajectories from the most analogous approved therapy.

  • Pre-Launch Demand Map

    Patient demand concentration by geography, health system, and site of care — available on launch day, not six months after first NRx.

  • Launch Sequencing

    Signal density mapped by territory and prescriber segment so field force reaches the right intersections first, before prescription data shows them.

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Evidence & context
54% of pharmaceutical launches miss their first-year revenue forecast Trinity Life Sciences
6–18 mo detection lead time ahead of clinical diagnosis — demand exists before your launch data sees it European Psychiatry · 2026
1 in 15 high-risk patients completing screening had previously undetected AF EP Europace · 2025

Evidence that's current when the payer committee reads it — not when the study was designed.

SHAARPEC Foresight generates continuously updating real-world evidence from the same trajectory infrastructure that drives commercial intelligence — refreshed with each data cycle rather than frozen at a study completion date.

  • Continuous HCRU

    Living healthcare resource utilization updated each data period, designed around AMCP Format 5.0 and 2025 AMCP RWE Standards.

  • Comparative Effectiveness

    Analysis that extends as competitors launch — answering the formulary question being asked today, not the one from 18 months ago.

  • IRA Negotiation Readiness

    Evidence accumulates over the treatment period on a fixed CMS statutory clock — not commissioned after selection.

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Evidence & context
0.79–0.84 AUC across international validation datasets CONSIDERING-AF · EP Europace · 2025
18 mo. maximum prediction horizon ahead of clinical diagnosis ADHD-PREDICTOR · European Psychiatry · 2026
6 peer-reviewed publications across Nature, EP Europace, European Psychiatry, JMIR & ESC EP Europace · npj Digital Medicine · JMIR · ESC · European Psychiatry · BMJ Open
Peer-Reviewed Evidence

The methodology is published.

Trajectory intelligence validated in randomized trials, population-scale registries, and Nature portfolio journals.

Eur Heart J · ESC · 2021 Harvard · Region Halland
HF Guideline Adherence and Healthcare Cost Reduction

Longitudinal analysis of 5,987 heart failure patients linking claims data to real-world HCRU outcomes. Demonstrates that trajectory-informed care — connecting medication adherence to utilization patterns over time — translates to measurable cost differences at population scale.

Key Result

€1,130 lower cost per patient associated with guideline-adherent care (P<0.001, 95% CI 574–1,687)

PubMed →
npj Digital Medicine · Nature · 2023 École Polytechnique · KTH · Halmstad
Synthetic EHR Generation via Variational Graph Autoencoders

Peer-reviewed validation of the synthetic patient trajectory generation methodology underlying SHAARPEC's model training infrastructure. Variational graph autoencoders generate realistic longitudinal EHR sequences while preserving statistical properties and patient privacy.

Key Result

Synthetic trajectories validated to match real longitudinal EHR distributions — enabling privacy-safe model training and data sharing across organizations

PubMed →
J Med Internet Res · 2023 Halmstad University · Region Halland
100-Day Heart Failure Readmission Prediction: Explainability vs. Performance

Comparative ML study evaluating explainable (CatBoost + SHAP) against deep learning (LSTM) models for 100-day HF readmission prediction across 15,612 admissions. Validates that explainable trajectory models match deep learning performance — a key finding for clinical deployment and regulatory acceptance.

Key Result

CatBoost AUPRC 68% vs LSTM 66% — explainable model matches deep learning; both substantially outperform LACE index (AUPRC 51%)

PubMed →
BMJ Open · 2024 BMS · Pfizer · Philips
CONSIDERING-AF Trial Design and Risk Prediction Protocol

Prospective, randomized study design co-authored by SHAARPEC (Hallandia V), establishing the methodology for evaluating trajectory-based risk enrichment in a regional population of 330,000. SHAARPEC is named as an organizational contributor to the trial design and risk prediction model.

Key Result

SHAARPEC (Hallandia V) listed as organizational co-author — prospective validation of trajectory-based risk stratification methodology

PubMed →
Europace · ESC · 2025 BMS · Pfizer · Karolinska
CONSIDERING-AF: ML-Enriched Atrial Fibrillation Screening RCT

Randomized controlled trial testing trajectory-based ML risk stratification for AF screening across 2,960 patients. ML-enriched identification of high-risk individuals, combined with 14-day continuous ECG monitoring, detected substantially more new AF cases than standard care across a catchment population of 330,000.

Key Result

5.6× improvement in AF detection (RR 5.6, 95% CI 2.2–14.4) — ML+invitation vs. standard care; number needed to invite: 32

PubMed →
European Psychiatry · 2026 Takeda · Halmstad University
Early Adult ADHD Detection from Electronic Health Records

Transformer-based model predicting adult ADHD diagnosis from routine EHR clinical codes at 6, 12, and 18 months before clinical identification. Demonstrates trajectory prediction generalizability and consistent performance across indications beyond cardiology.

Key Result

AUC 0.79 (95% CI 0.76–0.81) at 6-month horizon; stable at 12 months (0.76) and 18 months (0.75)

PubMed →

Ready to see this applied to your indication?

We start with your data question and show you what the signal looks like for your therapy.

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